São Mateus vs Doze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAO
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 3
CAP
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 3
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
DOZ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 1
EST
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DOZ
2 - 3
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 4
DOZ
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOZ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |