São Luiz vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SLU
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 1
ITU
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 0
YPI
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 1
JUV
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
SLU
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
YPI
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 2
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 90 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECA
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SCI
7%
22%
71%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | -1 |