Gaucho 1 Troféu Farroupilha Semi-finals
Global 2-1
São Luiz vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
SLU
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 3
SCI
8%
23%
69%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
1 - 0
SLU
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
PEL
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GRE
5 - 0
SLU
88%
9%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
SLU
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |