São Luiz vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
VER
3 - 1
SLU
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
SLU
2 - 2
ISM
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ECS
1 - 1
SLU
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
SLU
4 - 0
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
SCI
3 - 0
SLU
87%
11%
3%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
ISM
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ECS
3 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
7%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 6
SCI
9%
18%
74%
|
40 | 85 | 45 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |