São Luiz vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 0
SLU
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
SLU
3 - 2
ESP
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
URS
3 - 0
SLU
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAN
2 - 0
SLU
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SLU
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAX
0 - 0
ESP
61%
22%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
URS
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 3
CAX
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
URS
1 - 2
CAX
33%
27%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |