São José vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 1
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 4
XVD
47%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 5
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUD
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
ATL
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
RBB
1 - 1
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AUD
3 - 3
UNI
58%
22%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |