São José vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 3
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRÊ
17%
20%
64%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 5
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +2 |