Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
São José vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 5
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |