São José vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOG
0 - 2
SAO
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 1
USA
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 2
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MOG
0 - 2
MAN
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
AMP
5 - 0
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 1
SAO
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |