São José vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SJS
0 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MOG
1 - 1
SAO
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAU
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
SAO
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
SJS
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOG
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
RIO
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +2 |