São José vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
4 - 0
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 0
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
VEL
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
BAT
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |