São José vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
4 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SAO
0 - 1
FER
31%
25%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
INT
0 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 4
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
INT
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 2
BOT
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
BOT
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |