São José vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 0
MOG
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAO
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1990 |
COT
0 - 0
SAO
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1990 |
SAO
1 - 2
COT
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
OES
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
INT
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 4
BOT
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |