São José vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 0
SAO
68%
20%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 2
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 2
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 4
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 2
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |