São José PR vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 1
SJP
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
SJP
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
SJP
3 - 2
FOZ
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | +5 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SJP
0 - 1
ARA
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 0
SJP
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 1
ARA
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 2
ROM
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
ROM
4 - 1
POL
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
FOZ
2 - 1
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 0
SJP
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |