São José PR vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 0
SJP
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SJP
2 - 2
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
SJP
0 - 2
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
FOZ
1 - 0
SJP
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
LON
1 - 2
SJP
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
POL
0 - 2
ARA
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROM
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
FOZ
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |