São José MA vs Bacabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COR
4 - 2
JOS
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
JOS
4 - 1
BAC
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
JOS
0 - 2
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 0
JOS
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
JOS
1 - 1
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MOT
2 - 1
BAC
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
JOS
4 - 1
BAC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
BAC
1 - 4
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
BAC
2 - 2
MAR
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
BAC
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |