São José AP vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
IAP
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ORC
3 - 2
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SEC
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
IAP
3 - 2
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
23%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 4
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
SAN
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAM
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
YAP
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |