São José AP vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
0 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 2
SAO
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 2
ORC
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
SEC
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
0 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 0
TDC
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +4 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |