São José AP vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
AMA
0 - 1
SAO
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
REM
3 - 2
SAO
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 3
AMA
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
ABA
2 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
REM
3 - 2
SAO
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
REM
2 - 1
ABA
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 2
REM
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
REM
2 - 4
FFL
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |