São José AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
SPM
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
IAP
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
YAP
1 - 0
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 3
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 2
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
ORC
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ORC
1 - 0
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 2
ORC
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORC
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |