Sao Jose vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Jose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
3 - 2
SAO
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 2
KEC
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ARA
2 - 1
SAO
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
TOC
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +5 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
ARA
4%
20%
77%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +7 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TMI
3 - 1
KEC
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 0
TMI
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TMI
3 - 3
TOC
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
0 - 0
TMI
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
0 - 1
TMI
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |