Sao Jose vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Jose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
TUB
0 - 1
SAO
67%
18%
14%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
KEC
2 - 1
SAO
54%
22%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 1
TOC
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARA
4 - 1
SAO
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 2
SAO
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 0
ARA
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOC
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TUB
2 - 1
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
3 - 1
KEC
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 2
SAO
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |