São João Ver vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
LEC
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
GON
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
VSC
0 - 1
FAF
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FAF
0 - 1
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
FAF
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 1
VSC
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |