São Gabriel vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SGA
36%
23%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
SGA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SGA
3 - 2
ISM
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
3 - 0
SGA
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 0
SGA
54%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
AIM
2 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
GUA
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |