São Gabriel vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
ISM
1 - 1
SGA
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SGA
2 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
SGA
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
SGA
0 - 0
PEL
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
4 - 0
SGA
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ISM
0 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |