São Francisco AC vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 2
SFC
23%
19%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
SFC
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
SCH
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
7 - 0
SFC
87%
9%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 3
PRI
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 2
GAL
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
NAU
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
PLA
60%
20%
21%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
6 - 1
SEG
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |