São Carlos vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
COM
4 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
4 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |