São Carlos vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BEB
0 - 0
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
ECN
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEM
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
BEB
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ECN
1 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
PEN
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |