São Carlos vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECN
34%
24%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OSV
1 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 2
FRA
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
AUD
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 0
OSV
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 1
PEN
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |