São Carlos vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATI
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 2
SAO
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ATI
0 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 0
MAT
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |