São Carlos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
IND
4 - 0
MAT
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |