São Carlos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
2 - 1
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
NOR
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 3
COT
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
IND
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
TUP
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |