São Carlos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SER
0 - 3
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
RBB
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
XVD
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
COM
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 2
IND
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |