São Carlos vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
75.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
OSV
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
LEM
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
HOR
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
77%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
MAC
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |