São Carlos vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 0
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 3
UNI
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
1 - 2
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 0
MOG
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
ECN
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |