Cup Paulista . Final
Global 4-3
São Caetano vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 3
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BER
2 - 2
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 2
MIR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 3
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 0
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 2
XVD
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
XVD
3 - 2
BER
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 1
XVD
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -2 |