São Caetano vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |