São Caetano vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 4
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
0 - 3
SAO
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
SAO
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
MOG
0 - 3
COR
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 3
OES
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 0
MOG
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 0
MOG
46%
23%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |