São Caetano vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
OES
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
27%
30%
43%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 2
MOG
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
XVD
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
MIR
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
MIR
54%
22%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 3
SAN
12%
20%
69%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |