São Caetano vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SAO
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2001 |
OLM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2001 |
VAS
3 - 1
SAO
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2000 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
28%
24%
49%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
OLM
4 - 2
DEF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 2
OLM
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 1
UCH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
UCH
3 - 2
DEF
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |