São Caetano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
3 - 0
SAO
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 4
SAO
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 2
SAO
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
4 - 3
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |