São Caetano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 2
GAM
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PPE
3 - 6
SAO
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 2
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
SCI
2 - 0
BOT
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLA
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |