São Caetano vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 2
GUA
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
4 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAD
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATL
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
VOT
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |