São Caetano vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 3
GRÊ
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 1
GAM
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
BAH
1 - 1
ABC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 3
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 3
ABC
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |