São Bernardo FC vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAO
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
COR
16%
27%
57%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 2
SAO
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
ECS
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TOM
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 0
CRZ
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 1
AMF
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
TOM
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |