São Bernardo FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
SAO
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |