São Bernardo FC vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
3 - 4
SAO
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
55%
22%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
XVD
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
MOG
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATL
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
ATL
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |