Copa Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
São Bento vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
INT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOT
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |