São Benedito vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
IGU
1 - 2
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 3
MAR
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FER
7 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 2
CRA
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 3
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IGU
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
5 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |